{"id":6328,"date":"2026-04-10T07:13:27","date_gmt":"2026-04-10T01:43:27","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/newsdive.net\/index.php\/2026\/04\/10\/from-deficits-to-27-ebitda-unraveling-the-transformation-journey-of-ge-vernova\/"},"modified":"2026-04-10T07:13:27","modified_gmt":"2026-04-10T01:43:27","slug":"from-deficits-to-27-ebitda-unraveling-the-transformation-journey-of-ge-vernova","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/newsdive.net\/index.php\/2026\/04\/10\/from-deficits-to-27-ebitda-unraveling-the-transformation-journey-of-ge-vernova\/","title":{"rendered":"From Deficits to 27% EBITDA: Unraveling the Transformation Journey of GE Vernova"},"content":{"rendered":"<p>While India&#8217;s stock market faces a downturn, GE Vernova T&#038;D India seems to remain resilient. The company, which experienced losses in fiscal years 2022 and 2023, is now valued at nearly 85 times its trailing earnings, with a market capitalization of approximately Rs 94,000 crore. Its stock price has soared by over 3,000% in the five years leading up to 2026.<\/p>\n<p>In the latest quarter, the company reported a 58% year-on-year increase in revenue, with EBITDA margins rising significantly from a negative 2.7% in FY22 to 19% in FY25 and reaching 27% in the first nine months of FY26. The order book has grown impressively, standing at Rs 14,384 crore, which is about three times the revenue for FY25. Notably, the company has secured one of India&#8217;s pioneering Voltage Source Converter (VSC) based High Voltage Direct Current (HVDC) orders from Adani.<\/p>\n<p>Trading at 85 times earnings indicates that the market is willing to pay a premium for GE Vernova. The critical consideration is whether this valuation reflects past performance or anticipated future growth. Three key factors will clarify this:<\/p>\n<ul>\n<li>The transformation of margins, which has seen EBITDA rise from negative 2.7% to 27% over four years, and whether this can be maintained as the revenue mix shifts towards HVDC projects.<\/li>\n<li>The recent HVDC developments, with a pipeline of over four projects supported by Rs 9 lakh crore in planned transmission investments through 2032.<\/li>\n<li>The valuation metrics at 85 times price-to-earnings ratio (PE) and 45 times book value, and whether the company&#8217;s growth justifies such figures.<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n<p>For context, the revenue has escalated from Rs 2,773 crore in FY23 to a projected annual run rate exceeding Rs 6,000 crore. Profit After Tax (PAT) has rebounded from a Rs 2 crore loss to Rs 882 crore within just nine months of FY26. Furthermore, the order backlog has increased fourfold from Rs 3,700 crore to Rs 14,384 crore over three years, and the company boasts Rs 1,585 crore in cash with no debt.<\/p>\n<p>However, these impressive figures only provide part of the picture. The significant improvement in margins has been the driving force behind the company&#8217;s revaluation. In FY22, GE Vernova T&#038;D India reported an EBITDA margin of -2.7%, with declining revenue and a backlog of Rs 3,723 crore. The company was incurring losses on projects due to many orders being secured at minimal or negative margins during a prolonged downturn in the industry.<\/p>\n<p>Fast forward four years, and the nine-month EBITDA margin has rebounded to 27.1%, reflecting a substantial improvement of 3,200 basis points. This transformation has been driven by three main factors.<\/p>\n<p>The management&#8217;s guidance has shifted from cautioning that 29% margins are not a target to managing expectations in the &#8220;mid-20s,&#8221; with recent indications of no significant near-term dilution. However, there remains a risk associated with the project mix. As the company takes on more HVDC turnkey projects, which typically yield lower margins compared to product sales, there is potential for percentage margins to decrease. Nevertheless, management is emphasizing growth in absolute EBITDA rather than margins alone.<\/p>\n<p>If margins elucidate how GE Vernova T&#038;D reached its current valuation of 85 times earnings, the HVDC opportunities explain why the market continues to support it. In the third quarter of FY26, the company secured a significant order from the Adani Group for the Khavda-South Olpad project, marking one of India&#8217;s first VSC-based HVDC initiatives. GE Vernova T&#038;D India is the exclusive Original Equipment Manufacturer (OEM) for this project, which has an execution timeline of approximately four years.<\/p>\n<p>This order is not yet included in the reported backlog, pending certain commercial milestones, but once booked, it will further enhance the Rs 14,384 crore order backlog. Additionally, the company recorded the Chandrapur HVDC refurbishment order from PGCIL in Q3, with at least four more HVDC projects in the pipeline.<\/p>\n<p>The favorable macro environment is bolstered by India&#8217;s commitment to expanding renewable energy. In 2025 alone, India added 38 GW of solar and 6.3 GW of wind capacity, with renewables now constituting about 50% of the nation&#8217;s total installed power capacity. However, these energy sources are often located far from consumption centers, making HVDC technology the most efficient method for long-distance power transmission.<\/p>\n<p>The National Electricity Plan II has allocated Rs 9.2 lakh crore for transmission infrastructure investment through 2032, with peak power demand expected to rise to 446 GW by 2030 from the current 250 GW. GE Vernova stands out as one of the few global players, alongside Hitachi Energy and Siemens Energy, that possess expertise in both Line Commuted Converter (LCC) and VSC systems.<\/p>\n<p>For the period between FY26 and FY29, the company plans to invest Rs 1,046 crore in capital expenditures, fully financed through internal funds. This investment is part of a broader strategy to enhance capacity, notably in Vadodara, where transformer and reactor capabilities are being increased by over 50%. Currently, transformer deliveries in the industry take 18 to 24 months, while the market demands quicker turnaround times of 10 to 12 months. The expansions at Hosur and Padappai aim to increase capacity by 25%, targeting both domestic and export markets.<\/p>\n<p>As the stock is priced around Rs 3,700 per share, it trades at approximately 85 times trailing earnings and roughly 47 times book value, with the trailing twelve-month Earnings Per Share (EPS) estimated at around Rs 42. This valuation aligns it with peers such as Hitachi Energy India, ABB India, and Siemens India.<\/p>\n<p>The bullish case for GE Vernova is clear. If revenue can grow between 25% to 30% annually and EBITDA margins stabilize at 22% to 25%, projected PAT for FY28 could range from Rs 1,500 crore to Rs 1,900 crore. Under these assumptions, the current market capitalization of Rs 94,000 crore would suggest a forward PE ratio between 49 and 63 times based on FY28 earnings, which could be seen as reasonable for a company with such growth potential.<\/p>\n<p>Nonetheless, there are risks to consider, including potential slowdowns in growth, increased competition from Chinese firms, and delays in project execution. While trading at 85 times earnings may not seem affordable by traditional standards, such metrics can fall short during pivotal transitions. The forward valuations (49-63 times on FY28 forecasts) could still appear appealing if the growth trajectory remains intact.<\/p>\n","protected":false},"excerpt":{"rendered":"<p>While India&#8217;s stock market faces a downturn, GE Vernova T&#038;D India seems to remain resilient. The company, which experienced losses in fiscal years 2022 and 2023, is now valued at nearly 85 times its trailing earnings, with a market capitalization of approximately Rs 94,000 crore. Its stock price has soared by over 3,000% in the [&hellip;]<\/p>\n","protected":false},"author":2,"featured_media":6327,"comment_status":"","ping_status":"","sticky":false,"template":"","format":"standard","meta":{"_jetpack_memberships_contains_paid_content":false,"footnotes":"","jetpack_publicize_message":"","jetpack_publicize_feature_enabled":true,"jetpack_social_post_already_shared":true,"jetpack_social_options":{"image_generator_settings":{"template":"highway","default_image_id":0,"font":"","enabled":false},"version":2}},"categories":[40,1540],"tags":[],"class_list":["post-6328","post","type-post","status-publish","format-standard","has-post-thumbnail","hentry","category-india","category-in-smart-stocks"],"yoast_head":"<!-- This site is optimized with the Yoast SEO plugin v27.3 - https:\/\/yoast.com\/product\/yoast-seo-wordpress\/ -->\n<title>From Deficits to 27% EBITDA: Unraveling the Transformation Journey of GE Vernova - News Dive<\/title>\n<meta name=\"robots\" content=\"index, follow, max-snippet:-1, max-image-preview:large, max-video-preview:-1\" \/>\n<link rel=\"canonical\" href=\"https:\/\/newsdive.net\/index.php\/2026\/04\/10\/from-deficits-to-27-ebitda-unraveling-the-transformation-journey-of-ge-vernova\/\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:locale\" content=\"en_US\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:type\" content=\"article\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:title\" content=\"From Deficits to 27% EBITDA: Unraveling the Transformation Journey of GE Vernova - News Dive\" \/>\n<meta property=\"og:description\" content=\"While India&#8217;s stock market faces a downturn, GE Vernova T&#038;D India seems to remain resilient. 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